Market conditions — buying conditions and the froth check for the S&P 500

Quantustik's buying-conditions score for the S&P 500 reads 17/100 — Unfavorable conditions (Caution) as of 2026-07-20. Higher means a better time to buy; lower means worse. The reading is driven by breadth, contrarian fg, cluster buys. Weaker than a typical day of the last six months. The live action plan's current de-risking trigger: “Reduce 50% at next open if score drops below 35 (Caution)”. This is a market-conditions classifier for position-sizing context, not a buy signal.

Froth is measured separately, from froth evidence only (volatility, credit spreads, crowd sentiment, breadth) — never from the score above. It is reported as TWO readings, because froth means both at once and a single combined number cannot say both: it reads the same for a calm market the crowd ignores and for a market in outright panic. Currently how cheaply risk is priced reads 68/100 and how much the crowd is piling in reads 0/100. Calm and cheaply priced — but the crowd does not love it. Risk is priced cheaply (calm volatility, tight credit spreads), yet the crowd is not greedy and breadth is not stretched. That is a real, ordinary state — not a bubble, and not a panic. It says nothing about what happens next: markets that looked like this have gone on to rise about as often as usual. Poor buying conditions do not imply a frothy market: a market can be weak without being frothy.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Quantustik market conditions score?
A live 0-100 composite of sentiment (contrarian Fear & Greed), volatility term structure, market breadth, insider/congressional trading flow, sector rotation, and quantum-model alignment, mapped to a Strong Avoid / Caution / Neutral / Buy / Strong Buy verdict. It is a position-sizing and risk-context signal, not a trade recommendation on its own. Educational research; not investment advice.
Is the market conditions score a buy signal?
No. It is a market-conditions classifier used to scale position sizing and set risk guardrails — never a standalone instruction to buy or sell. Educational research; not investment advice.
How often does the market conditions score update?
The score recomputes on a scheduled cadence (roughly hourly) plus on-demand refresh; each snapshot is dated and persisted so the 90-day history is auditable.
What makes the market conditions score flip?
The composite reads multiple independent signals; if enough of them reverse, the score crosses a verdict-tier boundary (15 / 35 / 65 / 85) and the live action plan issues a defined de-risking or re-risking step — see the current snapshot for the specific trigger.

A market-conditions classifier for position-sizing context, not a buy signal; educational, not advice.