The card at the very top of a ticker page is the “what do I do” summary. It shows four things — and once you can name them, the rest of the page stops being intimidating.
A small arrow and a percentage tell you the model’s expected move over the horizon you’ve selected: upside expected, downside expected, or a flat outlook. Direction is independent of the verdict word above it — a NEUTRAL / WAIT verdict can still show modest expected upside, which is exactly the “there’s a little room up, but no asymmetric edge worth acting on” case. Direction answers “which way,” not “should I act.”
The percentage is the model’s central estimate for the move, not a promise. It sits inside a wide range of possible outcomes (the confidence band), so read it as the middle of a spread, never a level the price is expected to hit exactly.
This badge compares the targeted gain against the risked loss for the setup. Quantustik’s rule is that a setup should offer at least 2:1 reward-to-risk before it earns a positive lean; below that, the upside may not justify the downside even if the direction is right more often than not. A green badge means the setup clears the ≥2:1 bar; anything less keeps the verdict cautious.
One or two plain-English sentences synthesise the direction, the growth read, the chance of a gain, and the reward-to-risk result. Every figure is pulled straight from the model’s output for this ticker — nothing is rounded up or dramatised. If the thesis says the trade isn’t earned, that’s the honest read, not hedging.
This lesson is investor education, not personalized advice. Every number on the card is a probabilistic model output, not a promise; the expected-growth figure is the middle of a wide range, never a target the price is expected to hit.
Live example: as of the last scan, AAPL’s 3-month reading points to +6.1% expected growth and puts about a 8177% chance of a gain, with a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.4:1 — which is below the ≥2:1 bar. See the full AAPL card to read all four facets together.
No. It is the model’s central estimate inside a wide range of possible outcomes — read it as the middle of a spread, not a level the price is expected to reach exactly.
At least 2:1 — the targeted gain should be at least twice the risked loss — before a setup earns a positive lean. A ratio below 2:1 keeps the verdict cautious.
Yes. Direction just reads the expected move; the verdict weighs whether there’s an asymmetric edge worth acting on. Modest upside with no real edge is exactly the NEUTRAL / WAIT case.
Investor education only — not investment advice, and never a promise of profit. Every investment can lose value.