EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) — our verdict today is WAIT — no entry earned yet. No tradable signal is being published for this stock right now — the rows below say which check is standing in the way.
Everything the model computes about this one stock, one row per indicator: what it reads, what that means, and exactly how much it moved our verdict.
We could not score this stock — the model has no usable forecast for it yet. The risk checks carry no points at all: they are vetoes. Any one of them can block a BUY outright regardless of the score, and the ones currently blocking are shown in red. Everything else on the sheet is context — measured and explained, but deliberately not scored.
1 of 18 indicators had usable data for this stock.
Measured, but not pushing either way
We looked at these and they are sitting in normal territory, so they add nothing to the score today. That is itself information: it is how you can tell a calm market from a panicking one.
Price we are working from: $92.00 — Everything below is measured from $92.00. Effect on the score: 0 — no push. Measured today and sitting in normal territory, so it adds nothing to the score. A deliberate zero, not a failed measurement. The last close we have on file. Everything on this page — the forecast, the targets, the stop — is measured from this price, so if the market has moved a long way since, read the rest with that in mind.
No data today
We could not measure these today, so they are not in the score at all. This is not a reading of 'fine' — it is a gap, and we show it rather than hide it.
Which way our forecast points: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Our model simulates thousands of possible price paths for this stock and reads off how many of them end higher, and by how much. This is the single biggest input into the verdict — the model's own opinion about direction.
How bad the realistic worst case looks: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. The bad end of our forecast: how far the price could reasonably fall within the model's 90% range. We weigh this heavily on purpose — a missed gain costs you nothing, a large loss costs you real money.
How well our past forecasts held up for THIS stock: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. We re-run our own forecast on this stock's history and check how often the real price actually landed inside the 90% range we predicted. A model that is confident and wrong is worse than useless, so we grade ourselves per stock and let the score reflect it.
Is the price above or below its own trend: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Compares the recent average price against the longer-run average. Above both and rising is what an uptrend looks like; below both is a downtrend. It says nothing about value — only about direction of travel.
Is the move speeding up or fading: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Momentum: whether the recent move is gathering pace or running out of it. A rally that is decelerating often turns before the price does.
Overbought or oversold: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. A 0-100 gauge of how stretched the recent move is. Very high means the stock has run hard and buyers may be exhausted; very low means it has been dumped and may be due a bounce. Middle readings are the healthy ones.
Where the price sits in its 52-week range: No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. How far today's price is from the highest and lowest it has traded in a year. Right at the high leaves nothing to buy cheaply; deep at the low usually means something is genuinely wrong.
Is our forecast in step with the stock's recent moves (shown for transparency, not scored): No data — We could not measure this, so it is not in the score. That is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Our own signal, not a textbook one: we compare the DIRECTION of the next few days of our forecast against the direction of the stock's last few days. A forecast that continues the stock's current rhythm is a different animal from one calling for an abrupt turn. It is not a forecast-accuracy score — nothing here checks whether an older prediction came true. Direction only: the size of the moves is ignored. We measured it: across 5,400 walk-forward forecasts it showed no relationship with subsequent returns (rank correlation ≈ 0.00 at every horizon and in every regime), so its weight is now zero — it is shown for transparency and can never move the verdict.
Where the model thinks the price lands in 3 months: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. The middle of our forecast — the model's single best guess. It is a centre of gravity, not a promise: the range below it is the honest part.
The range we are 90% sure the price stays inside: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Nine times in ten, we expect the price to end up somewhere in this range. A wide range means the model genuinely does not know — and we would rather tell you that than pretend to a precision we do not have.
Chance the price is higher in 3 months: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. The share of our simulated price paths that finish above today's price. It is a probability, not a guarantee — a 70% chance still loses three times in ten.
How violently this stock moves: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. How much the price swings around in a typical year. High volatility is not automatically bad — it is what creates the gain — but it is exactly what forces a smaller position, because the same stop is hit far more easily.
How much it follows the market: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Whether this stock tends to move more or less than the market as a whole. Above 1 it amplifies the market, below 1 it damps it. Neither is good or bad on its own — it tells you what you are actually exposed to.
Worst fall it actually suffered this past year: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. The largest peak-to-trough drop over the last year. Not a forecast — a fact about what already happened, and the best single answer to 'how much pain does owning this involve'.
Reward you got per unit of pain: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. Return compared with how much the price bounced around to earn it. Above 1 is respectable; below 0 means you were paid nothing for the stress.
How much of your money we would risk on it: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. The share of your capital our sizing engine would put into this one trade, after allowing for how violently the stock moves and how far the stop sits. A zero here is a refusal, not an oversight.
Reward against risk on the planned trade: No data — We have no reading for this. It is a gap in our data for this stock, not a reading of 'fine'. Effect on the score: not counted. We could not measure this today, so it is not in the score at all. That is a gap in our coverage, not a reading of 'all clear'. How many dollars the plan aims to make for every dollar it puts at risk. We refuse anything below 2:1 — you have to be right far too often for a thinner trade to be worth taking.